Alterslash

the unofficial Slashdot digest
 

Contents

  1. Earth’s Biggest Disasters Strike In a Hidden Pattern Every 27 Million Years
  2. A Missing Underscore Sent Innocent Man To Prison For 18 Months
  3. Review Roundup: Framework Laptop 13 Pro
  4. Peacock to Be Included With YouTube Premium In Major Streaming Tie-Up
  5. Amazon Trying to Launch a Global Satellite Cellphone Network In 2028
  6. Nvidia, Tech Giants Launch AI Safety Initiative
  7. Codeberg Bans Cryptocurrency and LLM-Generated Code Projects
  8. China Begins Mass Production of Homegrown DUV Chip Tools
  9. ChatGPT Starts Blocking Direct Requests To Copy an Author’s Style
  10. Apple Will ‘Watch Everything Burn’ When AI Bubble Bursts
  11. Big Tech Accused of Stonewalling European Social Media Researchers
  12. Nvidia In Talks With OpenAI To Guarantee $250 Billion Financing For Data Center
  13. ‘KVM Chainsaw’ Expected to Hit Linux 7.3 For Dealing with ‘God Data Structure’
  14. A New Middle Class of Content Creators Is Quietly Quitting the 9-to-5
  15. 2.1 Million People View Leaked ‘Odyssey’ Bootleg on X

Alterslash picks up to the best 5 comments from each of the day’s Slashdot stories, and presents them on a single page for easy reading.

Earth’s Biggest Disasters Strike In a Hidden Pattern Every 27 Million Years

Posted by BeauHD View on SlashDot Skip
A new analysis of 89 major geological events over the past 260 million years found evidence that mass extinctions, volcanic eruptions, ocean crises, and other upheavals may cluster around a roughly 27.5-million-year cycle. The cause remains unknown, with possibilities ranging from mantle activity and orbital changes to speculative galactic influences. Slashdot reader alternative_right shares a report from ScienceAlert:
One possibility lies deep within Earth itself. The planet’s mantle is constantly circulating through convection, albeit at an almost unimaginably slow pace. Periodic changes in mantle convection, or the initiation of mantle plumes, could influence volcanism, plate tectonics, mountain building, and other large-scale geological processes. Because these systems are closely interconnected, disturbances originating deep within Earth could eventually ripple through the planet’s surface, oceans, climate, and biosphere.

Another hypothesis focuses on interactions between Earth’s surface and interior. Long-term orbital variations influence climate and sea level, periodically redistributing enormous amounts of water, ice, and sediment across the planet. [New York University geologist Michael Rampino] discusses the possibility that these changing surface loads subtly modify stresses within Earth’s crust and upper mantle, potentially influencing tectonic and volcanic activity over geological timescales.

Rampino also considers possible influences beyond Earth, an idea he has been weighing up since the 1980s. As the Solar System orbits the center of the Milky Way, it oscillates above and below the galaxy’s mid-plane, with the timing of these passages aligning with that of Earth’s major upheavals. These crossings, other researchers have suggested, could also gravitationally perturb comets in the distant Oort Cloud, increasing the likelihood of large asteroid impacts.

Another, even more speculative, hypothesis suggests that if dark matter is concentrated near the galactic plane, a fraction of it could occasionally be captured by Earth. Over millions of years, this process could generate small amounts of internal heat, potentially influencing geological activity. At present, however, there is no direct evidence supporting either mechanism, so they remain very controversial.

Large asteroid impacts are discussed separately in the paper. Although they were not included in the statistical analysis of the 89 geological events, the timing of several of Earth’s largest known impact craters appears broadly consistent with the proposed 27.5-million-year rhythm, as Rampino has discussed in earlier papers. Rampino suggests this correspondence may warrant further investigation, but stops short of claiming a causal relationship.

A deepness in the sky

By Synonymous Homonym • Score: 3 Thread

Fascinating. According to this paper, previous major mass extinctions coincide with the sun crossing the galactic plane.

It is as if there is something about the location within the Milky Way that makes complex biospheres (or preventing major disasters) more or less likely. Zones of… something or other.

Or maybe it is just coincidence.

A Missing Underscore Sent Innocent Man To Prison For 18 Months

Posted by BeauHD View on SlashDot Skip
An anonymous reader quotes a report from Ars Technica:
One missing underscore in a Skyrim-themed username put an innocent Nova Scotia man in prison for 18 months. A 2018 child-luring investigation, which began in Madison, Wisconsin, and eventually extended to Halifax, Canada, was based on a false premise. Police were looking for a man using the Kik messaging service under the name “fus__ro_dah” (two underscores after “fus”), but they accidentally requested records for the username “fus_ro_dah” (one underscore after “fus”). This one-character difference led them not to the perpetrator but to a Canadian man named Brandon Klayme. (Ars readers may recognize “fus ro dah” as the Unrelenting Force “dragon shout" from The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim.)

Despite finding no evidence of the crime on his digital devices, Canadian police arrested Klayme in 2020 on child sex abuse charges. He was convicted after a trial in 2023 and sentenced in 2024 to 18 months in prison. He served the full term. Even after release, Klayme continued to fight his conviction. In the process of preparing his appeal, the username mistake that led to all these years of disruption was finally discovered. On Thursday, the Nova Scotia Court of Appeal overturned Klayme’s conviction, writing: “Mr. Klayme is factually innocent of the offences. He should never have been charged, let alone convicted.” […] As the court puts it, “Although the information about the usernames was available at the time of the trial, there is no evidence confirming or explaining how it went unnoticed.”

This ladies and gentlemen

By rsilvergun • Score: 5, Insightful Thread
is why I oppose the death penalty. Flimsy evidence convictions are extremely common.

Compensation?

By CRC’99 • Score: 5, Insightful Thread

One would hope that given this guy was deprived of his freedom through no fault of his own that there would be substantial compensation due.

It’s one thing to just vacate the sentence, its another to make up for what those actions of the state did to this guy…

Already a problem regardless of underscore count

By toutankh • Score: 5, Insightful Thread

Regardless of underscore count, this is a real issue:

Despite finding no evidence of the crime on his digital devices, Canadian police arrested Klayme in 2020 on child sex abuse charges. He was convicted after a trial in 2023 and sentenced in 2024 to 18 months in prison.

So they just assumed he must be the guy despite having no evidence that he was the guy, then sent him to jail, essentially ruining his life. Shouldn’t this have been a big issue already then? Shouldn’t there be consequences for the person(s) who made that judgement?

Re:This ladies and gentlemen

By TuringTest • Score: 5, Insightful Thread

Cool story, but this wasn’t about the death penalty.

Every story about a wrong conviction is a story about the death penalty

Re:Compensation?

By misnohmer • Score: 4, Interesting Thread

Perhaps one good way to gauge the compensation is to sentence the prosecutor, the judge, and other parties involved in the prosecution to 18 months in the same jail, then see how much they would be willing to pay to not go to not have to do the 18 months, and have this charge on their criminal record. The victim here could then decide to either take their money, or let them go to jail unless they are willing to up their offer, in which case the victim can reconsider. This would be somewhat representative of “market value” for 18 months in the very same jail.

Review Roundup: Framework Laptop 13 Pro

Posted by BeauHD View on SlashDot Skip
The review embargo has lifted for the new Framework Laptop 13 Pro, and the consensus across the board is that it is a massive leap forward in terms of build quality and battery life. The main issue reviewers complained about is the sky-high price, with the higher-end model jumping dramatically from $2,100 up to $2,900 due to the memory shortage crisis.

In his video review, Marques Brownlee says, “This is their best build yet. They’re finally doing what people have been asking for: a premium… modular… laptop.” ZDNET agrees that this device “represents a new approach for Framework and a maturation of the brand’s catalog,” noting that the new construction is “sleek and airtight, with no gaps, spaces, or evidence that was even put together by your hands at all.” Tom’s Hardware echoes this enthusiasm, declaring that “The Framework Laptop 13 Pro’s sturdy design, haptic trackpad, and bigger battery feel like they should have been there all along”.

Battery life, which has historically been a weak point for Framework, is now a standout feature. Ars Technica points out that the combination of Intel’s efficient Panther Lake chips and a new 74-watt-hour battery is “finally long enough to decisively eliminate ‘mediocre-to-poor battery life’ as the laptop’s biggest downside.” They also said it’s “Framework’s nicest-looking, nicest-feeling, most polished laptop design.”

For Linux users, the machine appears to deliver on its promises. Phoronix says the device “is designed with great Linux compatibility in mind,” offering a seamless out-of-the-box experience for distributions like Ubuntu and Fedora.

As mentioned above, the overarching complaint is the extreme cost. Ars Technica notes that Framework unfortunately “switched to an exotic new upgradeable LPDDR5X RAM format just in time for those modules to become astronomically expensive.” Still, Marques Brownlee summarizes the long-term value proposition perfectly: while it might be painfully expensive on day one, “the longer you keep this laptop, the more it feels worth it” because you can easily repair and upgrade it over time. Compared to Apple’s flagship, the Framework is “80% of the quality, way more modular,” he says.

Peacock to Be Included With YouTube Premium In Major Streaming Tie-Up

Posted by BeauHD View on SlashDot Skip
YouTube Premium will include Peacock Premium at no extra charge beginning in early 2027. “The deal brings a slew of premium content to the [$15.99 per month] YouTube Premium subscription, including live sports like the NFL, NBA and MLB and entertainment like Law & Order, Saturday Night Live and Love Island,” reports The Hollywood Reporter. “It also has the potential to dramatically scale Peacock, which remains smaller than many of its streaming competitors.” From the report:
Peacock has 48 million subscribers, while YouTube Premium and YouTube Music have a combined 125 million subscribers, though they don’t break out how many each of those offerings have. The agreement, which expands on the deal the company inked with YouTube parent company Google last year, will also extend the entertainment company’s programming deal with YouTube TV, while bringing some of YouTube’s offerings to Comcast Xfinity and Xumo platforms.

There’s also a notable sports and production element to the deal, with NBC Sports agreeing to stream some live sporting events on its YouTube channels, and with NBC agreeing to serve as the production partner for select live events on YouTube. YouTube will also bundle some of the company’s International streaming offerings like Universal+ and Hayu in select markets.

Consolidated Silo

By crunchy_one • Score: 3 Thread
Just what the public is yammering for, consolidation of one streaming silo into another, all for a price that’s guaranteed to increase year after year while the programming you came for disappears show by show. Ads on their way, too, unless you upgrade to the super premium deluxe package.

Deja Moo - Part Two.

By geekmux • Score: 5, Insightful Thread

Just what the public is yammering for, consolidation of one streaming silo into another, all for a price that’s guaranteed to increase year after year while the programming you came for disappears show by show. Ads on their way, too, unless you upgrade to the super premium deluxe package.

Those of us who were young enough to have to be the one to get up to turn the channel knob and move the rabbit ears realize this cord re-attaching deja moo as same shit, different century.

So they aren’t generating the metrics they need…

By PubJeezy • Score: 3 Thread
So they aren’t generating the metrics they need and are just going to pay YouTube to manufacture them. This deal means that the Peacocks subscriber #‘s are going to shoot up by millions with the stroke of a pen and requiring absolutely no consumer demand. This feels like an admission by Comcast that Peacock is a failure.

the old cable is coming back with big bundles and

By Joe_Dragon • Score: 3 Thread

the old cable is coming back with big bundles and you think that the price will not go up to cover this?

Amazon Trying to Launch a Global Satellite Cellphone Network In 2028

Posted by BeauHD View on SlashDot Skip
Amazon has asked the FCC to approve a 5,105-satellite constellation launching in 2028 that would provide global direct-to-cell “voice, messaging, data, and emergency services,” similar to Starlink’s partnership with T-Mobile. The network would use Globalstar spectrum, support future Apple satellite services, and complement Amazon’s existing Leo broadband constellation. The Verge reports:
Advanced Television points out that the FCC application also includes a request to use spectrum assigned to Iridium’s satellite network outside the US, even as Rocket Lab is in the process of acquiring Iridium with plans to expand.

The new constellation and direct-to-device service will “complement” the broadband services Amazon also plans to offer through its Leo platform. In addition to consumer satellite service, it would also be used for things like disaster response and emergency messaging.

Amazon says the new direct-to-device satellites “will process the signals in orbit before relaying them to improve performance.” The new constellation will be nearly double the size of Amazon’s initial Leo constellation, which is planned to include around 3,200 satellites. As of July 2nd, Amazon says “over 375” of those satellites have launched so far.

Way too much space junk

By presidenteloco • Score: 5, Interesting Thread
Can we just agree that if 20 or whatever it is companies and countries independently put up some kind of Internet satellite network there’s going to be way too much space junk and very dangerous low earth orbit for humans traversing it.

Re:Way too much space junk

By dskoll • Score: 4, Informative Thread

We might be dangerously near the Kessler Syndrome according to this article.

flying toasters

By awwshit • Score: 3 Thread

Who knew flying toasters was prescient?

Nvidia, Tech Giants Launch AI Safety Initiative

Posted by BeauHD View on SlashDot Skip
wiredmikey shares a report from SecurityWeek:
Nvidia and a large group of technology, cybersecurity, and enterprise software companies have launched new initiative aimed at developing and sharing open source tools, models, and techniques for securing AI systems and agents. The new Open Secure AI Alliance aims to give defenders more open tools for testing, auditing and protecting AI models and agents. Nvidia points to the recent security incident involving OpenAI and Hugging Face, noting that when closed AI tools could not differentiate between attackers and defenders and blocked forensic work, Hugging Face used the open-weight GLM 5.2 model on its own systems to review over 17,000 actions and contain the breach.
“The right response is not to deny defenders access to capable open systems. It is to pair openness with strong safeguards, clear rules against malicious misuse, rigorous evaluation and rapid remediation. In cybersecurity, the safer path is the one that gives more defenders the ability to test, verify and strengthen the systems on which society relies,” Nvidia said.
Thanks to longtime Slashdot reader SphericalCrusher for also sharing the news.

Here it comes…

By ebunga • Score: 5, Interesting Thread

They’ve hit a wall. They know they’ve hit a wall. They just can’t say it, so now they have to hide that fact. They’ll say they’re advancing the state of the art, that they’re this much closer to AGI, that the AI is scary good at everything, but they can’t let you use it because of reasons. They’re literally ripping off the free energy conspiracy theory and passing it off as gold.

An Alliance of Companies You Trust. Really Trust.

By crunchy_one • Score: 5, Insightful Thread
Adobe, Cadence, CapitalOne, Cisco, Cloudera, Cloudflare, Cognition, Crowdstrike, databricks, Dell Technologies, DoorDash, Elastic, HPE, HuggingFace, IBM, Longchain, The Linux Foundation, Microsoft, Naver, NetApp, Nous, Nvidia, OpenClaw, Palantir, paloalto, RedHat, Reflection, salesforce, SAP, servicenow, siemens, SK telecom, snowflake, SpaceX, synopsys, thinking machines, and TrendAI.

Re:Here it comes…

By taustin • Score: 5, Insightful Thread

They didn’t say whose safety their safety initiative was intended to protect, now did they? Not the public’s, and not the shareholders/marks, for sure.

Codeberg Bans Cryptocurrency and LLM-Generated Code Projects

Posted by BeauHD View on SlashDot Skip
Longtime Slashdot reader AmiMoJo shares a report from Hackaday:
Community-led open source project hosting site Codeberg has formally announced that projects whose code is largely or fully machine-generated through LLMs and other ‘AI’ tools will no longer be welcome. This follows on the heels of a similar ban on cryptocurrency-related projects. The community vote was on two issues, the first being the notion that scraping of project code for the use in LLMs should be forbidden, which was a motion that easily passed. The second motion was on disallowing projects whose code was substantially generated by LLMs like Claude, OpenAI Codex, and similar. This motion passed with 358 in favor versus 144 against.

In the earlier linked blog post the reasoning behind especially this second issue is expanded upon, covering not only “license whitewashing,” but also the direct and indirect hardware costs, with the expanding ‘AI’ datacenter hyperscaling having massively increased hardware costs for Codeberg over the past years, as the costs have been largely externalized. Also covered is the aspect of these LLM-based tools destroying the OSS community, which is something that is backed up by recent studies.

Excellent

By gweihir • Score: 4, Insightful Thread

Always good to see that there are still people with intact wits in this whole sea of crazy we have today.

Crypto maybe, LLM-Generated Code Good Luck!

By oldgraybeard • Score: 3 Thread
As for LLM-Generated Code?
No use trying to add guardrails now! Mountains of slop are upon us!

China Begins Mass Production of Homegrown DUV Chip Tools

Posted by BeauHD View on SlashDot Skip
According to The Information (paywalled), a state-backed Shanghai company has begun mass-producing China’s first homegrown immersion DUV lithography machines, with about five units expected this year for SMIC, Hua Hong, and CXMT. Roughly 20 more units are expected in 2027. Tom’s Hardware reports:
The Information didn’t name the manufacturer, but its sources described the operation as having pulled DUV development teams from several Chinese companies, one of them the state-backed startup Shanghai Yuliangsheng Technology. SMIC has been testing a Yuliangsheng immersion tool since September 2025. Most components in the new systems are domestic, though some critical parts still come from Japan, and delays at local suppliers have held back output this year.

[…] China accounts for around 20% of ASML’s net sales this year, down from 33% in 2025, driven mainly by mainstream logic demand… Independent analysis from the AI Futures Project in June put commercial-scale Chinese immersion DUV in the mid-2030s, with ASML holding 98.7% of the immersion market. Qualifying the new machines for production lines could take many months, and they trail ASML’s tools on performance and build quality. China’s domestic EUV effort, which Reuters first reported as a working prototype in December, remains years away.

Re: Thanks Trump

By AvitarX • Score: 5, Insightful Thread

I think this is less about tarrifs and more about China’s care for technological independence.

Replacing dependence on a Dutch company has little to do with US tarrifs and more to do with independence from the “West”.

DUV is a dead end

By ZipNada • Score: 4, Interesting Thread

China is learning that there’s a long road ahead just to replicate the equipment that’s been available for a decade. Obviously they need to get started on it, especially since there’s “a bill now moving through Congress would cut off from ASML sales and servicing by statute”, but they won’t reach the state of the art for many years even if they steal it as usual.

Re:DUV is a dead end

By UnknowingFool • Score: 4, Interesting Thread

China is learning that there’s a long road ahead just to replicate the equipment that’s been available for a decade.

More like 3 decades if you count the earliest DUV machines.

Re:Thanks Trump

By toddz • Score: 4, Informative Thread
You’re right it’s not the most advanced technology, it’s a mature legacy technology that accounts for 80% - 85% of the total world wide wafer capacity. So sure they can’t make chips with the leading edge nodes but they sure as hell can make the majority of chips in production today.

Re:DUV is a dead end

By mistergrumpy • Score: 4, Informative Thread

Never been in a fab I see.

For most processes, only the first few layers (out of 50 or more) are printed with the highest resolutions tools. As you move up the device stack, the layers have both larger dimensions and are thicker. Tools like EUV can print very small features but they also have a very small depth of focus. Because of this (and cost and throughput), a fab will have just a few of the highest resolution tools, and a bunch more of the lower resolution tools all the way up to non-DUV (365 nm I-line tools) that only have 300 nm resolution. Fabs will continue to have DUV tools for a long time to come.

I have no idea if this new machine is actually capable of anything, but they are claiming immersion DUV. This is the most advanced DUV technology utilizing a layer of water between the lens and the wafer to increase numerical aperture (and make smaller features). Immersion and EUV are both embargoed from China. The Chinese are able to purchase dry (non-immersion) DUV and UV machines from ASML.

ChatGPT Starts Blocking Direct Requests To Copy an Author’s Style

Posted by BeauHD View on SlashDot Skip
An anonymous reader quotes a report from Ars Technica:
OpenAI’s ChatGPT is now refusing requests to generate text that directly mimics the style of famous authors. When asked to do so, the popular LLM instead offers a response that draws on the “broad qualities” of those authors “while remaining distinct in its own voice,” for example. This morning, Ars received the following response to a test prompt asking for a story introduction in the style of Stephen King: “I can definitely write with the hallmarks of atmospheric, character-driven horror and small-town dread, but I can’t write in Stephen King’s exact style or closely imitate his distinctive voice. Here’s an original opening that captures a similar feeling while remaining its own…”

In testing, ChatGPT generated similar dodges for other authors both living (J.K. Rowling, Amy Tan) and dead (Charles Dickens, Ernest Hemingway). An analysis published by No Latency earlier this month (PDF) found the same behavior for living authors but found ChatGPT complied with style-copying requests for deceased authors. In refusing to directly copy the “exact style” of various authors, ChatGPT offered instead to capture an overall “feeling” by incorporating some of the common features found in those authors’ work. That may seem like a distinction without a real difference at first glance. But the slight alteration could be legally important as OpenAI continues to fight a number of lawsuits brought by book authors alleging large-scale copyright infringement by models trained on their work. One of those suits specifically cites ChatGPT’s “uncanny ability to generate text similar to that found in copyrighted textual materials,” for instance. An OpenAI spokesperson did not respond to a request for comment from Ars Technica.

In the US, copyright law generally protects only a specific expression of an idea, not the more intangible style of an author. But an AI-generated stylistic imitation could become infringing if it becomes “substantially similar” to the work of the original author. “We’ve never had a situation in which this personal style of individual creators could be imitated as well and as inexpensively as we now have with AI,” George Washington University Law School Professor Robert Brauneis told Bloomberg Law.

AI-Nannyism

By 0123456 • Score: 4, Insightful Thread

This is why the future is local LLMs, not centralized, censored commercial Nanny-AIs.

I actually had Claude tell me this one time earlier in the year… right after it had just written a story in the style of the same author. So they’ve been trying to make it work for some time but clearly taken a while.

This ruins everything

By Patrick May • Score: 5, Funny Thread

If I can’t generate my technical documents in the style of Hunter S Thompson, AI is useless to me.

Local AI

By Lobachevsky • Score: 3 Thread

The more that centralized AI turns into crippleware, it will allow local AI to flourish. Even if open models are not as good, the mere fact they won’t be crippled will make them better in many use-cases.

I tried …

By PPH • Score: 5, Funny Thread

… having AI write a math text book. But my publisher said it was too derivative.

Apple Will ‘Watch Everything Burn’ When AI Bubble Bursts

Posted by BeauHD View on SlashDot Skip
MacRumors interviewed AI critic Ed Zitron, author of the Where’s Your Ed At newsletter and host of the Better Offline podcast, about what could happen to Apple if the costly AI infrastructure boom collapses. Zitron argued that Apple is relatively well insulated because it has spent far less on data centers than rivals such as Microsoft, Google, and Amazon. He said the company could use the downturn to make selective acquisitions, though it might simply continue operating largely as before. “I think they will sit on the sidelines and watch everything burn,” Zitron said. Here’s an excerpt from the report:
If the bubble deflates the way you expect (write-downs, too much compute supply, possibly OpenAI cratering), can you walk us through what that would actually look like for Apple? Does anything break for iPhone users, or does Apple mostly watch it happen from the sidelines? Could it even benefit Apple?

I think things would look much the same for Apple. I think they will sit on the sidelines and watch everything burn. I could see them doing some choice acquisitions as things begin to collapse, but I could also see them do nothing.

I think Apple is in a very weird place at the moment. The Vision Pro was a dud, but it was also the most interesting and future-forward thing I’ve seen anyone put out in a while. If they were smart, they’d tread water and sink as much money into making that as small as humanely possible — no matter how long it takes — because the entire AI bubble is a result of everybody running out of hypergrowth ideas, mostly because we’re flat out of new interfaces.

I want to be clear that what they want to do with the Vision Pro requires it to basically be weightless and invisible and never need adjustments. When it works, it’s genuinely awesome. But that’s a load-bearing when. One slight movement means the whole thing goes out of focus. I can’t even use mine anymore because it needs an update that requires you to wear the thing the whole time. So much promise, released too early, shoved out the door by a CEO on his way out.

AI break down

By gurps_npc • Score: 5, Insightful Thread

I can easily see the AI bubble crashing.

But I do not expect the ‘excess compute supply’ to be a problem. That is very likely to be the main asset that people buy up. The price will drop for it as compared to now, but not by much.

Memory prices however I expect to crater. Once that compute supply is shifted away from making AI slop to more productive uses, we will have a glut of memory chips combined with excess production.

The main fall will be the idiots that ‘invested’ in AI companies. The AI founders will still come away in the 1%, but most of that money will have been striped away from the investors.

Apple Plays It Smart

By crunchy_one • Score: 5, Interesting Thread
Generally speaking, Apple doesn’t follow trends, it sets them. Not following the AI “trend” is in their DNA, and very much to their benefit.

From the start, the current AI iteration led by the likes of OpenAI has been a dumpster fire for investor money. No profit in sight, and a continuous burn rate that dwarfs every other financial bubble in history. A few firms in the hardware business have cashed in on the shovel trade, while outright fraudsters like the DRAM cartel have raked in a windfall, but neither is sustainable in the long term. Apple, unlike just about every other tech firm out there, has contented themselves with sitting out the AI bubble, and it very much looks like they’re going to benefit. At the end of the day Apple will have pile of cash on hand to cherry pick the remains, while the likes of Microsoft and Meta will be left holding so much debt it could well sink them. Oracle will be toast.

Re:AI break down

By crunchy_one • Score: 5, Interesting Thread

But I do not expect the ‘excess compute supply’ to be a problem. That is very likely to be the main asset that people buy up.

I not so sure about that. There’s not a lot of value in a depreciating asset. At least the dark fiber left over from the dot com boom had a life that could be measured in decades. Server farms are only good for 3 to 5 years, and even then become unreasonably expensive to operate vs. new equipment that’s more economical to operate.

Re:AI break down

By gweihir • Score: 5, Insightful Thread

The problem is that this is not general-purpose “compute”. Hence nobody actually has a real use for it that would justify the power consumption. This hardware may actually be negative worth after the cash. I also do not see why RAM should “crater”. Most of the RAM used in AI datacenters is also not general purpose and has no use outside of LLM accelerators. Yes, RAM can often be customized for different usage scenarios, but that is a final manufacturing step. Once it is finished, changing that becomes hard or impossible.

What could have interesting and unpredictable effects is if Nvidia dies. That is not assured but a definite possibility. A lot depends on the details of the crash.

Likely-erroneous assumptions

By swillden • Score: 5, Interesting Thread

This whole article is based on the suppositions that (a) the AI bubble is going to burst and (b) it’s going to take down Apple’s competitors. I don’t think that’s a likely sequence of events.

I do think we’re in something of an AI bubble, and that it will burst… but it won’t burst in the sense of “All this AI stuff will go away and no one will need data centers”, it will burst in the same sense that the dotcom bubble burst, or the railroad bubble burst. What happened in those cases wasn’t anything remotely like “and the hyped technology became unimportant”.

I think the railroad analogy is the most interesting because while a lot of railroads went under and a lot of railroad investors lost their shirts, it wasn’t because railroads — especially trans-continental railroads — were just as huge a game-changer as everyone thought they were, it was just because the capital investment required was massive and the payback didn’t come as fast as the financial structures built to fund the construction required. What happened was that those with the money snapped up the failing railroad assets and made a lot of money as the massive economic growth unleashed by the railroads was realized, over the course of a few decades.

Similarly, the dotcom bust famously left a lot of “dark fiber” laying around… but all of that fiber got lit up within a handful of years, plus we’ve added a ton more.

AI is looking like it will follow a similar path. It absolutely is a revolutionary technology, it will upend the structure of our economy — even more than railroads did — and there is a lot of money to be made. And even if AI gets much more efficient and doesn’t need all of those data centers, they’re still going to get used. The problem is just that some of the early investors pushed so hard trying to out-grow the competition that they’ve built some unsustainable financial structures, and there’s a good chance that AI won’t generate payback fast enough to keep those cards from tumbling down.

This probably won’t be because AI doesn’t advance fast enough, but because it takes time to figure out how to integrate any new technology, to make the business and even social adaptations to make use of it. I suspect those things will happen far faster then they ever have for such a large shift, because AI will actually help to accelerate them, but they still probably won’t happen fast enough.

OpenAI has the most exposure. Anthropic has done a better job of figuring out how to monetize AI and is a little less exposed, though still quite exposed. I don’t think Google, Amazon or Microsoft have significant exposure, mostly because they all have very large non-AI revenue streams and large piles of cash, both of which can help them survive heavy investment. For example, although Google did post its first quarterly net loss in forever, thanks to heavy data center investment, it was only a $6B loss, and for a company that would otherwise be generating $80B per quarter in net profits and has a $130B cash warchest, that’s nothing.

As for Apple? Well, Apple might be able to sit cagily on the sidelines, waiting for the crash so it can use its pile of cash to snap up the assets and buy in. But it’s also very possible that they’re going to miss the boat. Not completely, of course, but somewhat like Microsoft missed the boat on the Internet. I do agree that really making something like the Vision Pro work really well would be huge.

Big Tech Accused of Stonewalling European Social Media Researchers

Posted by BeauHD View on SlashDot Skip
European misinformation researchers say TikTok, X, and Meta are obstructing access to platform data required under the EU’s Digital Services Act through rejections, restrictive quotas, costly APIs, and burdensome security demands. Although regulators have fined X and pushed platforms to improve access, researchers remain skeptical that the changes will provide reliable, reproducible data at scale. Ars Technica reports:
In recent years, social media companies shut down public access tools like Meta’s CrowdTangle and replaced them with content libraries, or, like X, paywalled their API data, forcing academics to pay “hundreds of dollars a month,” said Duncan Allen, a research officer at Democracy Reporting International (DRI) in Germany. Researchers say that without API access, what Iamnitchi describes as the “black holes” in what society knows about how these platforms recommend content or handle reports regarding sensitive content will only grow. Others, like TikTok, cap how many posts any researcher account can pull each day, which Allen said can make it “impossible to study anything at scale.”

The DSA was meant to solve this by allowing vetted researchers at credible institutions to have access to API data if they could show it would help in studying systemic risks, from illegal content to threats to fundamental rights. But two years after the law took effect, researchers say they struggle to meet its security requirements and face narrow interpretations from platforms of what qualifies as a systemic risk. Application forms differ by platform, but most require data to be stored on infrastructure that cannot be compromised — such as a machine physically disconnected from the Internet — a resource most universities lack, [said Adriana Iamnitchi, chair of computational social sciences at Maastricht University in the Netherlands, who leads research into online disinformation campaigns.]

Even for researchers who secure approval, “there’s no guarantee that the data is good,” said L. K. Seiling, coordinator of the DSA40 Collaboratory, a German initiative that tracks 46 DSA applications. API data is often difficult for a colleague to reproduce, so a researcher’s work cannot be checked for errors, which Iamnitchi said is a “basic requirement of science.” DSA40 data shows that of 46 tracked applications, 20 were approved and 14 rejected. But approval rates vary widely: TikTok approved 11 of 13 applications, while X rejected 11 of 23. The true rejection rate is likely higher because the tracker relies on voluntary reporting, Seiling said. “There’s no structured advantage for researchers to use this pathway,” Seiling said. “Data access as it’s set up right now tries to disincentivize researchers.”

I know it’s a single data point…

By PubJeezy • Score: 5, Insightful Thread
I know it’s a single data point but the moment when Twitter started hiding the likes on a post, they were admitting that their metrics were fake and couldn’t withstand scrutiny. Of course, the back-end for the platform is still showing that nearly every like/retweet/reply on Twitter is coming from an onlyfans bot.

Social media platforms are not plausible. All the metrics are fake and they’re processing payments, running massive e-commerce platforms and massive ad-fraud campaigns. And the platforms know it. Facebook deletes BILLIONS of fake accounts every year.

From 2014-2018 the media actually covered media literacy and more and more researchers were pointing out how fake information is spread through super-spreaders and swarms of boosters all being operated in concert. And then that conversation just stopped. The platforms hid their own metrics and researchers’ finders were no longer reported in the mainstream media as the click farms started moving from the east Asia to the US.

Social media cannot be regulated. It is a massive fraud scheme. You can’t “clean up” a platforms that only profitable business models require fraud and deception.

Re:This isn’t about Social Media

By ArchieBunker • Score: 5, Insightful Thread

Only if your tv has the Fox News logo burned in. I’m cool with the government putting my interests above those of mega corps. In the USA it’s the complete opposite given that corporations are people.

Re:This isn’t about Social Media

By gweihir • Score: 5, Informative Thread

You know, the USA does not look so good these days. You claiming nonsense about the EU does really not change that. Well, maybe some idiots in the US believe your crap and feel a bit better about their own pretty bad situation. But that will be the extend of what you will accomplish.

Re: This isn’t about Social Media

By GeekWithAKnife • Score: 5, Insightful Thread
So you mean to say that under the veneer of innovation and technical advantage there’s no ruthless anticompetitive practices, tax avoidance, sabotage, disinformation, bribery, political lobbying, orchestrated bad acting and shameless exploitation of any and all loopholes?

I agree. Big US tech companies are definitely on the cutting age there.

On the whole of it, what I’m reading here is that, as usually American companies that get away with murder in the US bitch and moan about the same nasty tricks not working in the EU and they are just having a tantrum.

I worked for a large multinational company. I know how many US executive approach HR matters, EU compliance, anticompetitive practice. They just have a meltdown when the way they learnt how to cheat and have their way doesn’t suddenly work.

Maybe if US politics wouldn’t gut regulators that are there by the people and for the people “Big Tech” wouldn’t feel so wronged because they’d be set straight from day one. In the EU there’s plenty wrong but they still care to get it right.

Oh no the evil EU fined Google a billion dollars. They will all have to skip the new paint job on the super yacht.
Cry me a fucking river.

Re:This isn’t about Social Media

By gweihir • Score: 4, Insightful Thread

The EU judiciary (!) has issued fines to companies active in the EU (!) for breaking EU law (!).

Do you not support the rule-of-law? Are you an anarchist or a criminal?

Nvidia In Talks With OpenAI To Guarantee $250 Billion Financing For Data Center

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An anonymous reader quotes a report from Reuters:
Nvidia is in talks to provide roughly $250 billion in financing guarantees for OpenAI as part of a massive data center project, the Wall Street Journal reported on Sunday. The backstop from Nvidia would help the ChatGPT maker lease a 10-gigawatt project that SoftBank’s energy subsidiary is developing in southern Ohio, the newspaper said, citing people familiar with the matter. For OpenAI, a deal would be the first step toward controlling its own infrastructure instead of renting it from Microsoft, Amazon, and Oracle, while for Nvidia, it would guarantee demand for its chips for years to come.

The project is expected to cost more than $500 billion in total, including the chips inside the data center, according to the WSJ. The $250 billion guarantee covers the data center lease and debt financing, but would not cover the Nvidia chips inside the center, the WSJ said, adding that the chipmaker was also discussing financing OpenAI’s chip purchases worth up to $350 billion. Nvidia’s backing would support financing vehicles aimed at reassuring lenders about the project’s funding, the report added. The first phase of the project is expected to be finished in 2028, with around 800 megawatts of power, the Journal said.
The report notes that the U.S. government will control access to the power, while Japan will fund it separately under a trade agreement tied to Tokyo’s $33 billion investment in a natural gas plant. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick will reportedly help determine who receives access.

Re:We as a species have better things to do

By gweihir • Score: 4, Insightful Thread

I think this may be an entirely temporary effect in most (not all) cases. The cult-like claims of the ones praying on the great LLM altar become more obvious nonsense every day.

Let me get this right:

By MachineShedFred • Score: 5, Insightful Thread

1. OpenAI wants to build a ridiculous amount of data centers, using a ridiculous amount of GPUs.
2. Nvidia wants to sell a ridiculous amount of GPUs.
3. OpenAI runs into a funding wall
4. Nvidia gives them loan guarantees to build data centers, where they will be getting back a significant amount of that loan for their own products, while charging interest on the whole lot

Sounds like OpenAI is looking to get purchased by Nvidia at severe discount when they can’t pay the loan.

Re:Let me get this right:

By Whateverthisis • Score: 5, Insightful Thread
You’re missing a big one:

5) Nvidia doesn’t have the money to guarantee these loans. Nvidia has in current assets around 125B; about 50% to guarantee these loans.

We have a major issue here. These guys had all this circular finance with equity, where Nvidia would invest in OpenAI who then turn around and bought chips from them, adding to NVidia’s revenue. Very little cash was exchanged, the equity was exchanged, but then the equity went up (in a private valuation) because OpenAI was spending more on Capex. Now people are calling BS on this circular finance non-sense, so they’re turning to debt.

But the debt is a problem. Bloomberg came out (non-paywall source from Futurism) with a report saying they’re using Enron-style accounting, essentially shell companies to hold the debt while they own 20% of the shell, so the debt stays off their books. Debt financing like this however is extremely reckless; it is the source of the Enron crash, the Lucent technologies crash (Lucent also got into trouble with risky customer financing and crashed big time), the 2008 financial crisis, etc.

These guys are headed for a fall and will bring the economy into recession with it, right when the US government is too over-leveraged too.

I have an alternative idea

By CEC-P • Score: 3 Thread
How about they all fuck off, give us our RAM and GPUs back, and they can’t build a datacenter until they can build their own chips and RAM modules from scratch at a separate FAB and supply their own power privately. How about that? Anyone in on that idea?

‘KVM Chainsaw’ Expected to Hit Linux 7.3 For Dealing with ‘God Data Structure’

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An anonymous reader shared this report from Phoronix:
A patch series that appears destined for the upcoming Linux 7.3 merge window is what’s dubbed the “KVM Chainsaw” as a major code clean-up in dealing with the kvm_mmu “god data structure”. Red Hat engineer and KVM maintainer Paolo Bonzini has merged the kvm-chainsaw branch to KVM’s “next” Git branch. With this KVM Chainsaw work now in the next branch, it should be submitted for the upcoming Linux 7.3 cycle.

The KVM Chainsaw work deals with the kvm_mmu structure being overloaded with multiple uses and splits it down into three parts for better handling current KVM usage. Paolo explains of KVM Chainsaw with the merge to the KVM.git next branch:

“The kvm_mmu is a “god data structure” that includes three different tasks: describing the guest page table’s format, walking the guest page tables and building the page tables. This means that the (already poorly named) nested_mmu is only used in part, since it has no page tables to construct. Furthermore, some parts are reused across guest and host page tables (such as the reserved bits detector) but others are not; for example permission_fault is replaced by simplified code such as is_executable_pte().

This series cleans this up by splitting kvm_mmu in three parts…

But I thought…

By TheMiddleRoad • Score: 3, Funny Thread
But I thought that keyboard, video, and mouse were already split up. I’m so confused.

I see the words....

By Ritz_Just_Ritz • Score: 3 Thread

…but I’m unclear on how these changes would impact (or not) my life as a daily user of a linux desktop and occasional server. Not everyone is a kernel developer.

Re:I see the words....

By DarkOx • Score: 5, Informative Thread

KVM is kernel virtual machine, and it is used to allow Linux to act as hypervisor.

Presumably as a desktop user and occasional server maintainer this does not affect you at all. Usually they work pretty hard to not break user land, but I imagine things like qemu or android studio that couple fairly tightly to KVM behavior might see performance gains or something if you update to versions aware of the platform changes.

Why is this newsworthy?

By Junta • Score: 5, Insightful Thread

Nothing in the summary really conveys why this raises to the level of news. Digging in it doesn’t really have consequences for the users in the short term.

Plausibly a good change, but a change among countless other good changes that pass without notice.

Re:Why is this newsworthy?

By swillden • Score: 5, Interesting Thread

Nothing in the summary really conveys why this raises to the level of news. Digging in it doesn’t really have consequences for the users in the short term.

Plausibly a good change, but a change among countless other good changes that pass without notice.

I dunno. Given all the non-nerd news that shows up here, it’s refreshing to see something more deeply technical, even if most of use who don’t spend a lot of time thinking about VMs in Linux aren’t directly affected.

I’d be fine with a bit more coverage of possibly-interesting kernel changes. I mean, /. shouldn’t cover all of them; we have LWN for that. But picking the occasional random change of significance to highlight is worthwhile. Maybe one per week or something.

A New Middle Class of Content Creators Is Quietly Quitting the 9-to-5

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“The rise of TikTok, Instagram Reels and Amazon storefronts has created a new kind of white-collar exit strategy,” reports Bloomberg. Workers ditch office jobs not to become celebrities, necessarily, “but to piece together an income online through brand deals, affiliate links and highly personal videos documenting everyday life.”
In many cases, the followers necessary to sustain a living are smaller (and more attainable) than people might assume. A small but loyal audience can now generate enough income to rival a midlevel salary. Welcome to the middle-class creator economy. Last year, 25-year-old Abi Platock balanced a corporate marketing job in New York while posting online in her spare time. She built her audience by posting one or two videos a day, offering career advice, beauty tips and daily vlogs. “I signed my first brand deal in the four-figure range, and for me that was just such a big eye-opening moment,” Platock says of her partnership with deodorant brand Secret. She had 8,000 followers on TikTok at the time. “You can totally make it work without having hundreds of thousands of followers.” Platock, who now has roughly 25,000 followers across platforms, has signed about $25,000 in brand deals so far this year and expects her annual creator income to reach around $50,000 by yearend.

Her experience reflects a broader shift in advertising. Brands are increasingly moving money toward so-called microinfluencers — smaller online personalities who have less than 100,000 followers. “They are hiring a bunch of microcreators at scale instead of hiring a handful of macrocreators for what could potentially be the same cost,” says Ali Grant, co-chief executive officer of the Digital Department, a creator management company. And they perform where it matters most: engagement. An engagement rate of 3% is considered strong, and some microinfluencers exceed 10%, Grant says of the closely watched metric that tracks how often followers interact with content through likes, comments, shares and saves. Microinfluencers average a 3.2% engagement rate, almost triple the 1.1% rate for macroinfluencers (more than 1 million followers), according to growth marketing agency ATTN… A TikTok partnership with a creator who has around 50,000 followers can run a brand more than $3,500 for a single post, Grant says; with 10 times the followers, that fee might just triple, to around $10,000....

The influencer marketing economy ballooned to a projected $33 billion in 2025 up from $1.7 billion in 2015. The segment gained momentum after the COVID-19 pandemic, as dissatisfaction with traditional work pushed many to reconsider conventional career paths, says Brooke Duffy, a professor of communications at Cornell University. “They realized the trade-offs in terms of the investments of time, energy and human capital were not necessarily worth sacrificing so much of one’s personal self for,” she says. Success online can bring greater freedom — and even higher pay than many traditional office jobs, which have a median US salary of $69,000, according to Glassdoor. But the middle-class hustle still requires constant effort to maintain. The career has no promise of lifetime longevity. And unlike traditional workers, creators have no predictable paycheck or job protections, making career stability elusive. Roughly 57% of 3,000 surveyed full-time creators earn below a living wage from content creation, according to a report last year from Influencer Marketing Hub. Income from social media can fluctuate wildly from month to month, driven by shifts in algorithms, sponsorship cycles and platform trends.

“You could have a month where you make zero dollars, or you could have a month where you make $10,000,” Platock says.
The article cites Gallup Poll data released last year that found employee engagement in the U.S. had fallen to its lowest level in a decade [with engagement defined as “the psychological attachment workers have to their work/team/employer]. “Among the hardest-hit groups were Generation Z and workers in finance and technology. Broader workplace challenges, including rapid organizational change, hybrid and remote work transitions, and rising employee expectations are considered drivers of the overall trend.”

“For many workers, influencing can seem like a better deal; flexible schedules and independence wrapped in a veneer of creativity and fun. Almost 60% of Gen Zers say they’d become an influencer if given the opportunity, according to a 2023 survey from Morning Consult.”

Re:wish I could have a job....

By Viol8 • Score: 5, Interesting Thread

I think for most of them its enough money to get by and pay the bills, very few of them make enough to get rich. It certainly beats being on the dole. Also a lot of youtubers these days are older people and it could be a top up to their pensions. Very few get rich.

How old is the author ?

By zmollusc • Score: 5, Insightful Thread

The writer of the article says " unlike traditional workers, creators have no predictable paycheck or job protections, making career stability elusive.”

Is this being written in the 1960s ? Traditional jobs have had no predictability, protections pay rises or promotions since the early seventies. Career stability went away about the same time as the Apollo programme.

Re:Selling picks and shovels

By burtosis • Score: 5, Funny Thread
Have you heard of the push to get algal and fungal colonies to watch influencers and video creators across many platforms? It’s always pushed as lichen subscribe.

They’re called shills

By smooth wombat • Score: 5, Interesting Thread

I know it’s marketing speak, but “influcencer” is just another name for shill. These people are trying to get you to buy something.

Re:How old is the author ?

By RobinH • Score: 5, Interesting Thread

Ok, sure. The days of staying with a company for your whole career and moving up from a job in the mail room to the executive level… that’s been over for a long time. Companies won’t invest in workers by investing in training. We’re a small family-run business that prides itself on sticking with employees for the long term and we hired a new engineering grad a few years ago, paid for her to take a multi-month training course to get her certified, spent lots of time mentoring her, and a few months after that she gleefully announced she was leaving the company for a better opportunity out in the oil industry. She was surprised that we were anything but happy about it. She literally had no clue how much we’d already invested in her, and that hiring her hadn’t come close to being a net gain yet. It goes both ways. Companies feel screwed over and aren’t going to offer those perks anymore.

But there are still many, many, many more protections for employees than there are for influencers and gig workers. It’s not even close. And I’ve done a bit of YouTube publishing just out of interest sake. It’s a LOT of work and you’re mostly just working for YouTube. And your viewers end up being super-demanding. They expect constant posting. And you live and die at the whim of YouTube, who can cut your revenue suddenly just by tweaking their algorithm. It’s a brutal industry with long hours, lots of stress, and no security.

2.1 Million People View Leaked ‘Odyssey’ Bootleg on X

Posted by EditorDavid View on SlashDot
Variety reports:
“The Odyssey” leaks have begun, as a high-quality bootleg of the film reached millions of people on X thanks to a viral tweet on July 25. At 2:25 p.m. PT, a post on X reading “Someone uploaded ‘The Odyssey’ full movie on X. Can you believe it?” amplified a message from a now-suspended account. The message included a high-quality version of the film, as confirmed by Variety, and climbed to over 2.1 million views within two and a half hours. By that time, the streaming film was replaced by a takedown notice, and then the account was suspended…

As of July 26, a few clones of the bootlegged film are available on X, but they’ve been mostly flooded away by mislabeled files promising “The Odyssey” but actually showing a Rickroll, the longtime internet prank of tricking people into watching the music video for Rick Astley’s 1987 song “Never Gonna Give You Up.”
The article notes the leak “certainly doesn’t seem to have hurt the film’s still-surging box office in its second weekend, during which it earned another $87 million,” or lessened demand for Imax 70 mm tickets.

If you think a Rickroll is cruel…

By Jeremi • Score: 4, Funny Thread

Just wait until you try to download the bootleg video and end up with a copy of Musk’s AI-generated “historically accurate” version instead. D’oh! :)

Who cares?

By Midnight_Falcon • Score: 5, Informative Thread
Every movie that comes out has multiple torrents and various other sites you can download it from. This has been going on since the 90s since CeNTRoPY used to hookup the telesync SVCDs sometimes before the movie was released. One could download it from XDCC bots on IRC or if you were connected on a topsite or relay site some courier used FXP to directly transfer it to from another FTP site. Not much has changed except it’s on torrents, darkweb, or other bootleg sites. Is the point it was posted on X?

“High quality”

By thegarbz • Score: 4, Interesting Thread

The definition of quality is quite relative. For a film shot in IMAX format I don’t think event the bluray release should be considered “high quality” much less a bootleg, regardless of how good that bootleg may be.

2 hours 53 minutes

By devslash0 • Score: 4, Interesting Thread

Completely insufferable to watch in a cinema, with no breaks and disruptive people.

Torrent has been up for over a week

By nospam007 • Score: 3 Thread

So again, NOT stuff that matters.